Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.271701 0.311949 0.355179 0.404956 0.460573 0.520686 0.590455
2025-11-30 0.203128 0.256629 0.318741 0.395712 0.488031 0.594670 0.726606
2025-12-07 0.151600 0.210182 0.283452 0.380702 0.505132 0.657642 0.857167
2025-12-14 0.118565 0.179630 0.261547 0.377360 0.534416 0.737243 1.015747
2025-12-21 0.091717 0.151654 0.237720 0.366931 0.551917 0.802521 1.161953
2025-12-28 0.077233 0.138245 0.231355 0.378700 0.599728 0.911542 1.375347
2026-01-04 0.065749 0.126961 0.225902 0.390311 0.647661 1.024193 1.602677
2026-01-11 0.054608 0.113803 0.215098 0.391629 0.679491 1.115473 1.805926
2026-01-18 0.045461 0.102106 0.204547 0.391369 0.707946 1.203041 2.009264
2026-01-25 0.037844 0.091539 0.194037 0.389308 0.732485 1.285563 2.209818
2026-02-01 0.031793 0.082688 0.185049 0.388333 0.758032 1.370724 2.419292
2026-02-08 0.026861 0.075038 0.176980 0.387662 0.783432 1.456722 2.634805
2026-02-15 0.022272 0.067117 0.167182 0.382655 0.800998 1.531715 2.838921
2026-02-22 0.019435 0.062717 0.163983 0.390061 0.841765 1.648887 3.120388
2026-03-01 0.016203 0.056414 0.155500 0.385504 0.859335 1.726596 3.339519
2026-03-08 0.013973 0.052215 0.151050 0.388728 0.892000 1.833049 3.614244
2026-03-15 0.011581 0.046798 0.142673 0.382177 0.904361 1.903065 3.828576
2026-03-22 0.010547 0.045307 0.143804 0.397090 0.961625 2.059713 4.206078
2026-03-29 0.009580 0.043747 0.144480 0.410967 1.017769 2.217461 4.593514
2026-04-05 0.008308 0.040705 0.140616 0.413488 1.049810 2.330750 4.904778
2026-04-12 0.007151 0.037664 0.136170 0.413943 1.077229 2.436433 5.206925
2026-04-19 0.006101 0.034634 0.131152 0.412242 1.099540 2.533074 5.496499
2026-04-26 0.005229 0.031989 0.126752 0.411511 1.123832 2.634870 5.800605